YESTERDAYS RESULTS
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Below you'll find the complete analysis and predictions
for all the picks that were available for sale yesteday. |
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Matty B's Tech Team 70.2% (85-36 ATS) NFL Pup | |
Jaguars @ Broncos 4:05 PM EST
Play On: Jaguars (+) pts Game # 219, 1-unit selection Are their any more fans who still believe the Denver Broncos are a running team? The Broncos haven't had a 100-yard rusher in eight games, dating to last season. The last time that happened was in Mike Shanahan's first eight games on the job back in 1995. Selvin Young, the Broncos' leading runner, is on pace for 851 yards. He has both of the Broncos' 100-yard games, each against Kansas City, in the past 17 games. Despite last week's 16-13 low scoring slugfest win over Tampa Bay, the Broncos are scoring an average of nearly 30 points per game on the season. High scoring teams naturally attract too much attention from the betting public, and Denver applies to a negative 79-129 ATS system based on this concept. Teams from this system are already 0-3 in 2008, with outright upset losers on Green Bay (24-27), Buffalo (17-41) and San Diego (10-17) last weekend. The Bucs were 3-1 before Denver beat them, and that triggers a negative 48-91 ATS system that plays against NFL teams off wins over high quality foes. The best system we have in Jacksonville's favor can best be explained by referring to horse racing. Most horses in any given race did not win their last time out. So handicappers look for signs in recent losing performances that might point to a good effort today: a blazing first quarter, perhaps a good stretch run, or a nervy effort in the face of bad racing luck. The Jags made a valiant fourth quarter effort to come from behind and pull off the home upset over the Steelers before giving up the winning touchdown. That late stretch run qualifies the Jags in an 85-36 ATS system worth nearly 6 points per game. The Jags defense looks battered and bruised. They are giving up better than 22 points per game and 7.5 yards per pass. In last week's 26-21 loss to Pittsburgh the Steelers put up 300 yards and 21 first downs in the first half. The Jags were missing a pair of starters in the secondary and gave up more than 300 yards thru the air for the second week in a row. But Denver's pass defense is also giving up 7.5 yards per attempt, and they won't be able to pack the box against the Jags. The Broncos did not believe that TB QB Brian Griese could hurt them deep and they loaded up the box accordingly. Jacksonville can go deep, and they will force a weak Broncos defense to play more honestly than they did a week ago. Play Jaguars plus the points. | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:05:00 | ||
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Matty B's NFL ** B-L-O-W-O-U-T ** of the Week | |
Packers @ Seahawks 4:15 PM EST
Play On: Seahawks (-) pts Game # 226, 1-unit selection Seattle enters off an embarrassing loss at the Giants last week. They were blasted by 38 points (44-6), and played a terrible offensive game. They only had 13 first downs and gained an anemic 187 yards of offense. Mike Holmgren is an offensive minded coach, and he wasn’t too pleased with the performance: “Well, that was a good, old-fashioned, you know what. I was a little disappointed; let me put it that way." And the offensive inabilities led to their defense to being on the field for over 36 minutes of the game. The defensive guys were also beat down as the Giants racked-up 523 yards of offense and they’ll look to make amends for their bad performance. “We have to do a better job. That was embarrassing,” Seahawks linebacker Lofa Tatupu said. “As one of the leaders of this defense I take that very personally.” But let’s draw a line through the game. Seattle was not in a good spot at all, and at the risk of sounding like a broken record, I’ll say it again: NFC West teams struggle when playing in the Eastern Time Zone. And there’s no disputing that fact. Seattle has played two games in this situation already, losing both by a combined score of 78-16. Now one might argue that the situation is pointless because Seattle entered off a bye. But they still had to wake-up on Sunday morning and play a football game at 10AM on their body clock, right? If you’ve ever flown from West to East, you know that it takes days for your body to adjust to the time difference. Also going against Seattle was the bye itself. Many believed the Seahawks would be better this week as they welcomed back two of their starting receivers (lost Deion Branch again to a heel injury), but their timing based passing offense needs repetition to get into sync, and you just don’t get that in practice. QB Matt Hasselbeck also left with a hyper-extended knee, but early reports say he’s fine and be ready to go. And head coach Mike Holmgren has never been a guy to get his team to play well off a bye as his teams are just 2-11 against the spread in that situation. So forget what happened in New York. The Seahawks were up against it in many ways. Like Seattle, Green Bay is banged-up and short-handed. After not practicing at all last week, QB Aaron Rodgers played all 60 minutes with a separated shoulder. He played extremely well too, connecting on 25 of 37 for 304 yards. But he had no velocity on his passes, something a quarterback needs when playing in the common windy and rainy weather in Seattle. The Packers defense is struggling big-time allowing over 25 points per game which is close to full touchdown more than last year. Their run defense has allowed 176 yards or more in 4 of their 5 games, and after their 3rd straight loss on Sunday, head coach Mike McCarthy said: "We're making common mistakes, things you're stressing in practice, and we need to clean it up. Our house is messy right now." Those words tell us a lot about the morale of the Packers right now. Seattle played well below their capabilities, but look for them to bounce back strong at home. Go with Seahawks. | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:15:00 | ||
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Big Five Package of Winners in NFL Sunday Action is Golden from James Patrick Sports | |
Dolphins vs. Texans 1:00 p.m. est.
This is the second of four straight home games for the Texans and they have gone toe-to-toe the past couple of weeks with the NFL’s elite with nothing to show for it. The Dolphins are a much improved team but the Texans are at home and they are 5-2 ATS when installed as home favorites. 3* #163 Houston Texans Rams vs. Redskins 1:00 p.m. est. Jim Haslett has been elevated to Head Coach of the Rams and his initial assignment is to take out the Redskins who are off road upsets of Dallas & Philadelphia in consecutive weeks. Rams are really better than their record indicates and are receiving a very generous number here. Washington changes roles now and St. Louis is an NFL Dog from game #4 on out that is winless, has rest and these teams have cashed winning tickets at a 21-4-1 ATS clip. The new Head Coach gets our support here. 3* #217 St. Louis Rams Cowboys vs. Cardinals 4:15 p.m. est. Arizona has taken their lumps from the Boys as they have lost 4 straight ATS scoring just an average of less than 10 points per game. Cowboys always have a strong fan base in the desert and with Dallas sleep walking the past couple of weeks, we expect them to display their muscle in Phoenix on Sunday. How Bout Them Cowboys! 3* #223 Dallas Cowboys Packers vs. Seahawks 4:05 p.m. est. Seahawks Head Coach Mike Holmgren is off of the worst beating in his coaching career at the hands of the World Champion New York Giants. Including Play-off’s this is the fourth meeting in as many years with the home team going 3-0 ATS. In a snow storm last season the Birds jumped out to a 14-0 lead and then the Packers rolled them over. That loss last year to his former employer at Lambeau has Mike Holmgren still seething and this could well be the final time he faces Green Bay in his Head Coaching career. Quest Field in Seattle is just the right venue for a payback as the Seahawks are a solid 19-9-1 ATS at home. Seahawks fly high in Emerald City. 5* Pot of Gold #226 Seattle Seahawks Patriots vs. Chargers 8:15 p.m. est. NBC It’s Payback time for the Chargers as they suffered a pair of losses to the Patriots last season. The first was a week #2 and the second in January’s AFC Title Game. San Diego was hurting in the Title Game as LaDainian Tomlinson was out, QB Philip Rivers played with a torn ACL and Antonio Gates hobbled on a bad foot. Rest assured the Chargers were caught looking ahead last week in Miami. New England stayed at San Jose State all week electing not to return from San Francisco. San Diego always puts up numbers at home and the Chargers are 5-1 Over the Total as home favorites versus the AFC East. New England is 6-2 Over the Total as dogs versus the AFC West. Let the scoring begin in this nationally televised contest on NBS Sunday Night Football. 5* Pot of Gold #227 New England – San Diego Over the Total | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Nelly's SUNDAY NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE - Oct. 12 | |
Nelly’s 2/3 (Baltimore, Jacksonville, San Francisco)
Nelly’s 2* Pick #205 Baltimore + over Indianapolis 10/12/2008 Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts 1:00 PM ET The QB edge will clearly be with the Colts in this match-up but Baltimore should be able to run the ball with success. QB Flacco has proved capable this season and he received a vote of confidence this week, named the starter for the rest of the season. Indianapolis is giving up huge rushing yards this season, averaging a league worst 188 yards per game. Opponents are converting less than 30 percent of 3rd downs against Baltimore’s top ranked defense and the Colts offense is going to struggle in this match-up. The Colts somehow found a way to win last week and both Indianapolis wins have featured borderline miraculous comebacks. The Ravens have been on the short end of back-to-back losses in tough defensive battles and Baltimore is dominating the league statistically on defense. The Colts are hard to trust as they easily could be winless on the season and Indianapolis has not won in the new stadium yet. Baltimore can close the deal this week and get back in the win column. Nelly’s 2* Pick #219 Jacksonville + over Denver 10/12/2008 Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos 4:05 PM ET The Broncos defense stepped up last week but had terrible numbers through the first four weeks against marginal competition. Denver’s offense proved mortal with modest production last week and the Denver defense that has allowed over 390 yards per game is tough to trust against a playoff caliber team that is desperate for a win. Jacksonville has been solid against the run and the Jacksonville secondary has enough play-makers to give problems to the Denver aerial attack. Jacksonville has fallen to 2-3 and well behind the first place Titans but the losses came against teams that are 13-2 combined. Denver holds command of the AFC West but the Broncos have poor ATS numbers at home the past two seasons going 4-13 in the last 17 attempts as home favorites. The Jaguars are a dangerous team in the underdog role and Jacksonville is 8-4 ATS in the last twelve road games. Look for the Jaguars to bounce back as Denver is fortunate to have a strong record with narrow wins through a favorable schedule. Nelly’s 2* Pick #221 Philadelphia – over San Francisco 10/12/2008 Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers 4:15 PM ET The 49ers are a dangerous offensive team and although turnovers have been a problem the offense can put up big numbers. San Francisco’s defense has been decent against the pass and the 49ers held close with New England despite facing the Pats off a their bye week. The statistics make this appear like a tough match-up as the 49ers have allowed a lot of sacks but this is a team that has been behind in a few games and featured pass-only offensive series for much of several games. Playing at home the 49ers should develop a solid rushing attack against an Eagles defense that is more vulnerable than people think. Philadelphia was assumed to be right up with the rest of the NFC East but now having lost three of the last four it may seem that the Eagles have been overrated and are not quite ready to return to the NFC elite. Frustration is evident with recent comments by QB McNabb and when RB Westbrook is not 100 percent this is not an offense that can score enough to compete in many match-ups. Cross country travel is never easy and coming off a key division game the Eagles must head to the West coast in a tough spot. The Eagles have lost back-to-back games outright as favorites and should fall again here as one of the most overrated teams in the league, gaining credibility just for being the NFC East. Nelly’s Sportsline rates picks 1-3*, these selections are rated 2*. Never wager more than 5% of your overall bankroll on any one game as it is a long season. Thanks for your purchase and best of luck. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Bryan Leonard's AFC Game of the Month (77% Winners) | |
Plays are rated from 2-5*s for strength & bankroll %
Game 219/220 3* Jacksonville at Denver It's not often that you get the better defense and the better running game at an underdog price, but that's exactly what we have this week with the Jaguars. We also have a Jacksonville team in desperation mode after dropping to 2-3 with the loss to Pittsburgh Sunday night. The Jaguars are 15-5-1 ATS in the role of road underdog and they should have little problem moving the chains on this 25th ranked NFL run defense. What makes Denver even worse than their ranking is that they often have an early lead taking the opposition out of their running game plan. With an average age of 23 this Bronco defensive line is not only small but very young and inexperienced. Denver is just 3-12 ATS as home favorites and they dropped a 23-14 decision here last year to Jacksonville. They also have a Monday Night Football meeting at New England on deck. The Broncos will also be without two key contributors in the passing game TE Tony Scheffler and WR Eddie Royal. Jacksonville lost four of their top six linemen early on but the offense is starting to play well together scoring 21 points or more the past two weeks. With Denver sitting pretty record wise and Jacksonville in early must win territory we will back the running game of the Jags over the passing game of the Broncos. PLAY JACKSONVILLE | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:05:00 | ||
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Bryan Leonard's Sunday AFC Annihilator (100%) | |
Plays are rated from 2-5*s for strength and bankroll %
Games 205/206 3* Baltimore at Indianapolis A sure fire way to make money in football betting is taking the better defense and better running game at an underdog price. That's exactly what we have on Sunday with the Baltimore Ravens. Indy averages just 68 ypg running the football while allowing 189 ypg in the process. Those are not only bad numbers they are horrendous numbers. The underdog Ravens on the other hand run for 154 ypg and allow 64 ypg. Baltimore leads the league in stopping the run. The Colts are 2-2 on the season with both wins coming against teams that shot themselves in the foot late. While Baltimore's two losses were by three points each. The Ravens have won the first down battles in all four games by margins of 13, 10, 5 and 8 thus far. There isn't much home field advantage for Indy as they are 0-4 SU & ATS (regular and preseason) since moving into Lucas Oil Stadium. It's been said that the acoustics in the new building are much more favorable to the visitor. In the old stadium it was very loud which made it hard for the visiting players to communicate. Indy is getting healthier by the week but they are still without their defensive stopper Bob Sanders. He's as important to the defense as Peyton Manning is to the scoring unit. The Colt defensive front is small and they have been very vulnerable to power running teams in the past. We look for Baltimore to out physical the Colts at the point of attack and take this one to the wire. The better defense gains the victory. PLAY BALTIMORE | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Major League Baseball Grand Slam from James Patrick Sports in NLCS | |
Phillies vs. Dodgers 8:20 p.m. est.
The Dodger Blue return to Tinsel Town facing a 0-2 deficit to the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday. Joe Torre puts the fate of LA in the hands of Hiroki Kuroda (9-10). At Dodger Stadium Kuroda is 1-0 with an impressive ERA of 1.29 against the Phils. He has also won 5 of his past 6 home starts and his team has won 25 of 34 at home of late. Dodgers have responded off of losing efforts with wins in 8 of 10 off a loss. Jamie Moyer (16-7) goes for Philadelphia and with his career 3-5 record and 9+ ERA at Dodger Stadium this looks like the perfect opportunity for LA to climb right back into this series. Philadelphia has lost 5 straight in Los Angeles and the Dodgers are tough on southpaws at home with a 12-3 record. Dodgers get their first win in their series home opener. 5* Grand Slam #910 Los Angeles Dodgers | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:20:00 | ||
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Sunday's 4**** NFL GAME of the WEEK from King Creole is a HOME FAVORITE! | |
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
1:00pm ET / Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans 4**** BEST BET on: HOUSTON TEXANS *If needed, the sharp player would make sure (buy?) his line is -2.5 or less. It's 'Bubble Burst' time for our hometown Dolphins. Off H-U-G-E back to back UNDERDOG wins, the database tells us to fade these overachieving teams in their next game. 3-12 ATS since 1982 for ALL NFL teams off BB SU wins as a dog of +6 points or higher (in both games) against an opponent that's off a SU loss. These teams are 1-6 ATS since 1005.... and DOGS of < 7 points are a PERFECT 0-5 ATS (Dolphins). If it's Game #5 of the NFL season, and you still haven't won a game yet.... it's time to most teams to break out with a BIG win. That's the case for the Texans, who are off a couple of hard-luck losses in a row... an are 0-4 SU so far in 2008. 25-8 ATS since 1908 for All GAME FIVE winless teams.... and 13-3 ATS since the 2003 season. Our qualifiers this week in those 13-3 ATS System are HOUSTON, DETROIT, and ST LOUIS. Home teams to PARTICULARLY well in this scenario.... as they have gone a PERFECT 9-0 ATS since the 2001 season (TEXANS). There's a significant line swing in regards to the pointspread in this game. In a two-week period, Houston has gone from home dogs of +4.5 points to home favs of -3 points. 17-6 ATS since 1999: ALL NFL home favorites of -3 > points playing off a home game in which they were a DOG of +4 or more points. On a more recent note, these hosts arte 6-1 ATS in the last 3 years. Bring in a host who LOST that last game, and the original 178-6 ATS set improves to 10-2 ATS.... and a PERFECT 3-0 ATS in the last 3 years. Now, let's take a look at last week's opponents for each team. Miami upset the San Diego Chargers last week... while Houston lost to division rival Indianapolis Colts. 8-1 ATS in GAME 7 or less since the 2002 season for teams who lost to the COLTS last week as a home underdog (TEXANS).... when they are taking on an opponent off a SU win. 3-12 ATS for all road underdogs who beat the CHARGERS last week (Dolphins). Or even BETTER: 0-10 ATS since 1984 for road dogs of < 8 points off a SU DOG win over the CHARGERS (Dolphins). With the 2 Big Dog wins for Miami, they covered the pointspread by 13 points last week (they were dogs of +6 and won by 7).... and they covered the pointspread by 37.5 points against the Patriots (they were dogs of +12.5 and won by 25). 0-10 ATS in the HISTORY of our database: ANY NFL team off an ATS home win of +10 or more points... and an ATS road win of +35 or more points (Dolphins). Despite losing their last 2 games, the Houston offense looked pretty good... scoring 27 points in each game (vs the Colts and Jags). This situation hasn't happened very often when these hard-luck losers take on a decent team in their next game. But the results from the database clearly identify who to put your money on. 4-0 ATS since 1980 for NFL teams off BB SU losses in which they scored 27+ points in each game (TEXANS) when they take on an opponent with a current winning percentage of .500 or better (Dolphins). | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:05:00 | ||
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Dawg Pound Hotline barks BIG with Sunday's 3*** NFL UNDERDOG of the WEEK! | |
Dawg plays are rated 2*, 3*, and 4* each
3*** ATLANTA FALCONS plus the points vs the chicago bears / 1:05pm ET *This is a play regardless of the point spread, but the optimum line would be Atlanta +3.5 or higher. The FALCONS are the only team thus far in the 2008 season that has rushed for 100 or more yards in EACH of their first 5 games. Both Baltimore and the NY Giants have also done the same, but in their first 4 games (both have had their BYES already). That early-season rushing success is the first order of business. NFL teams are 12-4 ATS since 2002 in GAME SIX after rushing for 100+ yards in each of their first 5 games. And UNDERDOGS of 9 or less points in this role (ATL) have gone a PERFECT 5-0 ATS in the same time frame. The next area that Speedee always queries is each team' form as they enter the game. Chicago has won 2 in a row, crushing Detroit 34-7 last week and upsetting the Eagles (at home) 2 weeks ago. Meanwhile, Atlanta is off an upset win against the Packers (27-24) and a big division loss to Carolina 2 week ago (24-9). 22-10 ATS since 1980: Game 7 or less non-division home UNDERDOGS playing off a SU dog win (ATL) versus any opponent off BB SU wins (Chi). The numbers improve to 15-2 ATS if our home dog is taking on a fellow Conference opponent. 1-6 ATS in last 5 years: ALL NFL non-division teams off a SUATS road favorite win (Bears were -3.5 vs det last week).... and a SUATS home dog win (Bears were +3 vs phil 2 weeks ago). | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:05:00 | ||
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Great Lakes Sports Has A Trio of NFL 4* Best Bets For Today !! | |
Great Lakes Sports Rates their selections 3*, 4*, & 5* with 5* being our highest rated selection.
NFL Selections: Baltimore at Indianapolis 1:00PM EST PLAY on: 4* INDIANAPOLIS While the Colts are just 2-2 Both SU and ATS this year. We look for them to come up big today against the Ravens. In fact Indy should almost duplicate last year's 44-20 score when the Colts beat the Ravens in Baltimore. Indianapolis is a perfect 12-0 ATS in October since 2005. The Colts are also a perfect 4-0 ATS and SU against the Ravens during the last 4 contests between these squads. Baltimore is a very poor 1-8 ATS and SU in their last 9 road games. Take the Colts here to get the easy home ATS and SU Win. INDIANAPOLIS OVER Baltimore. Saint Louis at Washington 1:00PM EST PLAY on: 4* SAINT LOUIS Sure the Rams are a dismal 0-5 SU this year and have just switched head coaches. But with that said We will take the visiting Rams and the points today to get the Road ATS Cover. Coming of a bye week, St.Louis will go back to starting quarterback Marc Bulger. Coming off of two great SU and ATS victories over Dallas and Philadelphia, the host Redskins will surely be looking to get through this game. The double digit point spread squarely points to a strong trap game for Washington and an easy Point Road Win for Saint Louis. New head man Jim Haslett with his strong forceful presence will help be the difference here as the Rams With the Points Roll. SAINT LOUIS OVER Washington. Dallas at Arizona 4:15PM EST PLAY on: 4* DALLAS The traveling Cowboys will roll today both SU and ATS as they come into Arizona and hammer the Cardinals. The visitor is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 Cowboy games. Dallas has played well on the road this year outscoring opponents 55-26. The Cowboys are an impressive 28-14 ATS as road favorites when giving 7 1/2 points or less. The Cards counter at a poor 4-11 ATS at home off a 7 point or more win. Dallas is 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in these teams last 4 match ups. DALLAS OVER ARIZONA. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Sunday's BIG 3 "OVERS" in the NFL from King Creole Sports: | |
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
1:00pm ET / ST LOUIS RAMS @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS 3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL 4:15pm ET / GREEN BAY PACKERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL 4:15pm ET / DALLAS COWBOYS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS 4**** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL GM 1: The winless Rams return from their Bye week with a new Head Coach (Jim Haslett) and a new starting QB (back to Bulger). They qualify in multiple solid high-scoring situations based on that week of rest. 4-0 O/U in the last 3 years for WINLESS road teams playing off their BYE week. And.... 5-1 O/U in the last 4 years for road teams with REST off a DOUBLE-DIGIT home loss. Even if we throw out the ‘with rest’ situation, the numbers are still good. GAME FIVE non-div teams off a 0-4 SU start are 12-3 O/U... and 5-0 O/U as road dogs of 9 > pts. This game has the highest line (Wash -13 > pts) on the NFL week six schedule. That works for me. 15-3 O/U since 1995 for all OCTOBER non-division DD dogs (RAMS). Washington enters the game on a hot 4-game winning streak, with the last 2 wins as division dogs. In the last 4 years, OCTOBER home favs on a 3+ game winning streak are an amazing 16-3 O/U... and these teams went a PERFECT 6-0 O/U last season. We’re talking ‘Pedal to the Medal’! When we eliminate the streak from our query and insert the previous DOG win, the numbers are just as good. 10-2 O/U since 2001 for GAME SIX home teams playing off a DOG win... and a PERFECT 7-0 O/U in the last 5 years. Combining the current form of BOTH teams seals the deal: In this decade, GAME FIVE or greater home favs off 3 SUATS wins are a PERFECT 4-0 O/U vs an opp off 3 SUATS losses in a row. The Redskins LOVE beating up on shitty teams (6-0 O/U L10Y favs vs non-div .250 < foes). GM 2: Green Bay heads out west on a 3-game losing streak, with the last loss at home as a favorite against the Falcons. A 90% System tells us to look for the OVER. 9-1 O/U since 2000 for Conference road dogs off BB SU losses, with the last loss as a home fav of -5 > points. Numerous one-sided team trends for Green bay help to state our case. 11-0 O/U away in between home games... 9-0 O/U vs an opp off a road loss of 7 > pts... 4-0 O/U away vs NFC West teams. The Packer defense has been leaking oil lately, allowing 25,27, 30, and 27 points. 11-2 O/U since 2002 for all GAME FIVE > road teams after allowing 25+ points in each of their last 4 games. Our numbers shoot up to 9-0 O/U vs fellow conference opponents. Seattle has gone OVER in EACH of their first 4 games this year (4-0 O/U). GAME FIVE teams off 4 straight 'OVERS' are 6-1 O/U since 1998 vs an opponent off a SU loss. Last week's road loss was ugly for the Seahawks, as they lost to the Giants by a score of 44-6. That result is a good sign for us. In the last 4 years, ALL NFL teams are a PERFECT 10-0 O/U off a SU road loss of 35 or more points. In a final variation that's already gone 2-0 O/U this year, we seal the deal. 15-3 O/U in the last 3 years for ALL teams off a SU road loss in whcih they allowed 42 or more points (SEAHAWKS) In the last 12 months, these teams are a PERFECT 12-0 O/U. Your 2 winners this season were Jets/Cardinals OVER and Cardinals/Bills OVER (and we were on BOTH of em). GM 3: The bar is set high for this week’s Top OVER, but the timing is right. This week’s high OU line will NOT scare us off. Since 1984, OCTOBER home dogs with an OU line of 49 > pts are 12-3 O/U... and a PERFECT 5-0 for NFC home teams. With a big 41-17 win behind them, the Cardinals are primed for more high-scoring results. NFL Underdogs off a SU home win in which they scored 40+ points are 12-3 O/U since 2004... and a PERFECT 7-0 O/U in the last 4 seasons. Arizona also figures to ‘let it ALL hang out’ on Sunday with their Bye week on deck. So far in the 2008 season, HOME teams are 7-1 O/U before their BYE week. From a team perspective, this also holds up well as the Cards are 5-0 O/U before their Bye in the last 5 years. Dallas enters this game on a run in which they have scored 24 > pts in EACH of their first 5 games. You think the Arizona ‘D’ is going to slow them down? Hell NO. In the last 4 years, GAME SIX teams are 7-1-1 O/U after scoring 24+ pts in each of their last 3 games... and a PERFECT 5-0 O/U after scoring 24+ pts in each of their last 4 games. Dallas barely got by the Bengals last week, and have actually dropped each of their last 2 games ATS. Since 2002, NFL road teams are 12-1-1 O/U off BB home ATS losses... if they WON their last game in straight-up fashion. The Boys were favored by -16 against the Bengals, and won 31-22. Last 10 years: 7-0 O/U for non-div road favs of fa SU non-div home win but ATS loss as a fav of -14 > points. Play this one ASAP. Late afternoon final score in the desert: 34-27. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:05:00 | ||
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Jim Feist's 15** Pro Football Total Annihilator, $39!! | |
10/12 01:05 PM PT / 4:05 PM ET
NFL (219) JAC Jaguars at (220) DEN Broncos Take: over Reason: At first glance you might think this game will be all-passing, with Denver's uptempo approach, plus second-year Jacksonville OC Dirk Koetter likes a quick strike air game. However, the Jaguars strength is running the football -- and Denver has trouble with the run. Jacksonville (2-3 SU/1-4 ATS) has had its share of struggles. The team has the 21st ranked defense and 26th ranked offense, so they’ve earned that record. The defense isn’t as dominant after losing DT Marcus Stroud in the offseason, and the QB David Garrard is doing something he didn’t do much last year – turn it over. He has 3 picks already, after throwing 18 TDs, 3 INTs in 2007. Houston scored on drives of 91, 80 and 85 yards, the longest three drives of the game two weeks ago. The Texans also converted 69 percent of third downs and produced 386 yards of offense. The Jaguars blitzed on at least nine occasions in the game, bringing linebackers and cornerbacks. But they failed to sack Matt Schaub, who passed for 307 yards and finished with a 119.5 rating. Then they allowed 415 yards to banged-up Pittsburgh Sunday in a 26-21 home loss. The offense mustered just 213 yards. Jacksonville has a depleted secondary, with cornerback Rashean Mathis hurting along with Reggie Nelson, who has been inactive because of a bruised knee. The defense couldn't stop Ben Roethlisberger from driving the Steelers 80 yards in 11 plays in 4 minutes, 40 seconds for the game-winning drive. Roethlisberger completed 26-of-41 passes for 309 yards. The Jags are on a 15-4-1 run over the total and 34-19 "over" the total the last three years. Jacksonville is 7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS their last 12 on the road and this is a long road trip. Denver (4-1 SU, 1-3-1 ATS) has an explosive offense (No. 2 in the NFL) behind QB Jay Cutler (6 TDs, 3 INTs) and WR Brandon Marshall. They torched the Chargers for 38 points in a wild 39-38 victory, though the defense allowed 456 yards (376 passing). However, the young defense is suspect, as was evident in a 33-19 loss at Kansas City. The Chiefs rushed for 213 yards. Denver's offense rolled up 446 yards, but 4 turnovers limited them to 19 points. At defensive tackle, Marcus Thomas, who started five games as a rookie last season, is joined by Dewayne Robertson, the No. 4 overall draft pick in 2003 whom the Broncos acquired from the New York Jets for a conditional draft pick. The average age of the Broncos' top five defensive linemen: 23.4 years. Denver's young 'D' was strong Sunday in a 16-13 win over Tampa Bay, though they allowed 139 rushing yards. Which means the run defense is 25th in the NFL. Denver is 12-7 SU, 5-14 ATS its last 19 at home. Denver is also 16-5 over the total the last 21 games giving up 27 ppg. Jacksonville's running attack should be able to help keep this a high scoring game. Jim Feist rates his football plays 5** = 2% of bankroll, 15**= 3% , 20**=4% and 30**=5%. (Specialty Plays :Game of Week =5**, Game of Month = 15**, Conference Game of the Years=20** and Overall Game of the Year =30**) | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:05:00 | ||
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Smart Money NFL NFC Total Game of the Year -25-1 96% ATS Edge! | |
NFL/4:15p Green Bay Packers 225 vs
Seattle Seahawks 226 Prediction: UNDER 46.0 / 5 units The Green Bay Packers travel out to Seattle to play the Seahwaks this Sunday in a contest that I have pegged at being a lower scoring tilt. It must be noted that HC Holmgren hinted early in the week that the Seahawks might focus more on their ground game and not throw the ball as often as they have recently. That comment came out shortly after the Seahawks found out they would be without WR Deion Branch(injury). The Seahawks after getting whacked 44-6 last week, by the Gmen will want to to pay a lot more attention to not getting burned again, which will have them playing a lot more conservatively. The Packers saw how Seattle was slashed by power back Brandon Jacobs last week, and will also try to use their own run game a great deal with RB Ryan Grant to move the chains. These two strategies will make for a grinding affair that will eat a lot of time of the clock. It must be noted that controlling the clock, more often than not, determines the game winner. In match-ups that involve both teams that have the ability to control time of possession often lead to low scoring games. This is especially true when the home favored team(Seattle) averages greater than 4 more minutes of possession time at home than on the road and their opponent (Green Bay) has had more possession time on the road. With both teams trying to win the possession-time battle, these key Sunday games are lower scoring. My own personal data base ,have shown these types of affairs have failed to eclipse the Total 25 of 26 times since 1989, falling on the low side of the number( total) by 10-points per game, as long as the total is higher than 42 points . Play UNDER 5* selection NFC Total of the Year BEST BET | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:15:00 | ||
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Jim Feist's 20** Pro Football Shocker Game of the Year, $39!! | |
10/12 10:00 AM PT / 1:00 PM ET
NFL (217) STL Rams at (218) WAS Redskins Take: (217) STL Rams (20** Pro Shocker Game of the Year) Reason: Pro Shocker of the Year: Rams. The Rams are off their bye week and have a new coach in Jim Haslett, as Scott Linehan was fired. Haslett earned a reputation as a tough, demanding head coach during his six years in New Orleans. He has moved QB Marc Bulger back into the starting role, which was smart. Also, in practice the No. 1 offense went against the No. 1 defense for much of the workout. Normally, the top units don’t go head-to-head. The Rams have too much experienced talent on offense to continue to struggle, so a change in direction should help, as reports are the team was very unhappy under Linehan. The Rams take on a Redskins team that is home after a grueling 2-week road trip, back to back emotional wins over division rivals the Eagles and Cowboys. This is easily a let down spot for Washington, installed as a big favorite here. They are off those two emotional games and are looking at this one as a breather. But you can't overlook anyone at this level. The Rams might not win, but they will give the Skins a game with a new attitude under their new coach. Play the Rams. Jim Feist rates his football plays 5** = 2% of bankroll, 15**= 3% , 20**=4% and 30**=5%. (Specialty Plays :Game of Week =5**, Game of Month = 15**, Conference Game of the Years=20** and Overall Game of the Year =30**) | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Smart Money vs the Public Underdog 3 Pack | |
NFL 1:00p St. Louis Rams r217
+14 / 3 units The St.Louis Rams and their hosts the Washington Redskins are currently performing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Because of the statistical discrepancies the public has been more than willing to lay the lumber with the Skins . If there was ever a week you would want to back the Cardinals it would be this week , as a new coach Jim Hasslett takes over as the new head coach. The players had lost their confidence in the fired Scott Lineham, and had stopped performing for him. With Marc Bulger reinstated in the pivot position, during the bye week and a new beginning on the agenda , I finally expect this team to perform with some pride, against a Skins team in an emotional let down spot after back to back road wins against Dallas and Washington.. I know this is not the prettiest of bets, but is none the less, a lot more solid than many might think. Final notes & Key Trends: NFL underdogs, that are winless in game four on , have cashed at a 21-4-1 ATS Clip for a powerful 84% conversion rate! Projected score: Washington 24 St.Louis 21 St.Louis to cover 3* selection NFL 1:00p Baltimore Ravens r205 +4.5 / 3 units The Baltimore Ravens travel out to play a Indianapolis team that does not look as potent as they have in years past . Last week Indianapolis staged a late comeback win against the Houston Texans , which will have them in an emotional let down situation this week. Considering how inefficient the Colts have have been moving the chains, they can ill afford a slow start here today. This is what Im betting will happen,......Look for the Ravens ground orientated offense, to come out running against the Colts 32 nd ranked run defense. As the game progresses look for QB Joe Flacco to use play action for some down field bombs and some big gains and scores. When the Colts have the ball the very physical Ravens defense, will take away the run, and constantly pressure Payton Manning with a speedy pass rush. This will result in the star quarterback into making hurried throws, which will result in at least one key interception or fumble. Baltimore excels at playing slow grinding conservative games that allow them to stay close enough for a late win. With that said, look for this tilt to go down to the end with the points eventually being golden. Final notes & Key Trends: Colts are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 6.Colts are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Projected score: Baltimore 21 Indianapolis 17 Play on Baltimore 3* selection NFL-1:00p Atlanta Falcons r214 +3.0 / 3 units The Atlanta Falcons have really impressed me this season, behind a rookie QB Matt Ryan that has played like a grizzled veteran at times, and looked good against the Green Bay Packers last week in a 27-24 win. The Chicago Bears their visiting opponents pounded the hapless Detroit Lions last week 34-7, behind the arm of pivot Kyle Orton, and are looking like the power house that the media fell in love with a couple of seasons ago. Both these teams were supposed to be in rebuilding years, but both have received good play from the QB and running back positions(Micheal Turner ATL, Mike Forte CHI), while playing a similar brand of football. I really believe we are getting some good value here with the home underdog. Final notes & Key Trends: Bears or 0-8 ATS L/8 off back to back wins. The Falcons 12th in scoring (23.4) and ninth in total offense (353.2). Projected score: Atlanta 23 Chicago 20 Play on the Falcons to cover 3* | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Tom Freese Blue Line Club NFL 10* System Play Side WINNER! 1pm. | |
Tom Freese Blue Line Club- Sunday, October 12
Miami at Houston (1:00pm) Houston is in a 38-13 ATS System that says to Play On any team who is off 4 or more straight Overs vs. an opponent who is off 1 or more Unders. Miami is 5-12 ATS their last 17 October games and they are 6-14 ATS after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Dolphins are 7-20-1 ATS vs. losing teams and they are 8-21-1 ATS off an ATS win. 10* PLAY ON #216 HOUSTON - | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Tom Freese Blue Line Club NFL 10* 'TOTAL' OF THE MONTH! 4pm. | |
Tom Freese Blue Line Club- Sunday, October 12
Dallas at Arizona (4:15) Arizona is 10-2 OVER vs. teams with a completion percentage of better than 61%. The Cardinals are 5-0 OVER before a bye week and they are 11-2 OVER off a straight up win. They are also 20-7 OVER their last 27 games overall. Dallas is 7-1-1 OVER after rushing for over 150 yards in their last game and they are 14-6-1 OVER vs. winning teams. The Cowboys are 5-1 OVER their last 6 October games and they are 9-2 OVER in the first of back to back to back home games. 10* 'TOTAL' OF THE MONTH PLAY ON 'OVER' | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:15:00 | ||
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Greg Daraban's ** TOP LATE AFTERNOON WINNER ** | |
219 Jacksonville at 220 Denver Usually very tough to go into Denver to play, but I like the situation the Jags are in a must win at 2-3 with Tenn at 5-0 and Denver is very suspect on defense. Jacksonville wins on the road. Take 219 Jacksonville | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:05:00 | ||
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Scott Rickenbach: THE Top Play! 75% on the Football SEASON! | |
2* (Top Play) Green Bay Packers (+) @ Seattle @ 4:15 PM ET – Green Bay has not fared well against the run this season but they’re going to get some major help this week. That help is in the form of Seattle QB Charlie Frye. The fact that Frye is expected to get the start for the Seahawks on Sunday means that the Packers can put a lot of focus on stopping the Seattle ground attack and they can challenge Frye to try and beat them through the air. It appears that Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck is going to be “too risky” to play on Sunday because of risking further injury to his knee. Also, second string QB Seneca Wallace continues to battle his own injury issues. If somehow either one of those guys was able to go they would be damaged goods entering this game. As for Frye, he is 6-13 in his NFL career as a starter. Note that he’ll be facing a Packers defense that has shown some holes in recent weeks but their weaknesses are in areas where the Seahawks offense will have trouble taking advantage. The biggest weakness for the Packers entering this game is the secondary where issues have taken a toll. However, Frye will struggle to take advantage of that as he makes what amounts to an “emergency start” for Seattle Sunday. Green Bay had their own injury issues at QB last week but Aaron Rodgers begged to play. He got his wish and then went out and had a solid game against the Falcons. It certainly wasn’t the fault of Rodgers that the Packers lost that home game against Atlanta. The Packers aerial attack should enjoy a big day as the weather will be favorable for the passing game and Seattle’s defense has been awful this season. The Seahawks will also struggle to stop Ryan Grant. The Packers running back had a big game last week and he also had a huge game in last season’s playoff victory over Seattle. The fact that this is a big revenge game for the Seahawks, since they were eliminated from the playoffs by Green Bay last season, means that we get excellent line value with a Packers team that is in much better shape than Seattle right now. The Seahawks season is basically hanging in the balance and yet they have to turn to Charlie Frye at QB! Also, the playoff revenge factor will only put even more pressure on a team that just doesn’t need it right now and that also is unlikely to respond well to it with Frye at QB. The Hawks got hammered by the Giants in New York last week and they now must face a Packers team that has enjoyed success against them in recent season. Also, there will be no shortage of emotion and hunger for The Pack here as last week’s tough home loss to Atlanta makes this a very important game for the Packers as they need to get back to .500 on the season. Seattle’s offense, other than a solid effort in their lone win (over a winless St Louis team), has simply been inept this season and it won’t get any better with Frye at the helm. Conversely, the Packers are coming off of a very strong offensive effort against the Falcons and they build on that this week with a big road win. Play Green Bay plus the points as a Top Play selection. | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:15:00 | ||
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Marc Lawrence Double Perfect Never Lost NFL Super System Play! | |
Play On: St. Louis Rams
Note: The Rams take on the Redskins in Washington on Sunday under the direction of new head coach Jim Haslett as they look to enter the win column for the first time this season. The road team in Haslett's games as an NFL head coach has certainly shown a propensity for for winning the money as evidenced by a 59-35-3 ATS mark in his career. In fact, in games Haslett has been on the road against an opponent off a win he is 14-5 ATS, including 7-1 as a dog of 7 or more points and 6-0 SU and ATS when the opponent is off a SU underdog win (FYI: he was a dog in five of the six games). To further cement our play we note that non-division NFL favorites off back-to-back underdog wins, the last as +6 or more, are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS if off a division win and today's opponent that was not shutout in its last game. With the Rams rested off a Bye Week the Redskins had better bring their 'A' game here today or else an upset of major proportions will happen on Sunday. Marc shares his THREE MOST VALUABLE PLAYS on Sunday's NFL card, backed by amazing winning angles inside the game that are 44-1 ATS! Get them now and win good again with Marc today! | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Marc Lawrence NFL Sunday Night Fan Appreciation Play! - Sunday 10/12 | |
Play On: New England
Note: The Patriots take on the Chargers in San Diego Sunday evening in a rematch from last year's NFL playoff game in which New England emerged victorious, 21-12, as 14-point favorites. For openers the Pats won the better stats with a defense that is 79 YPG better than San Diego's defense. In addition New England head coach Bill Belichick is an amazing 6-0 SU and ATS as a road dog of more than 4 points when his team owns a winning record - winning every game STRAIGHT-UP! On the flip side, San Diego head coach Norv Turner is 2-10 ATS at home off a loss with revenge against a .500 or greater opponent in his head coaching career. That, along with the huge line swing from last year to this, puts us squarely on the Patriots here tonight. | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:15:00 | ||
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Greg Daraban's EARLY TOP PLAY for SUN (14-5 in NFL) | |
203 Oakland at 204 New Orleans Oaklnad heads to NO. The Raiders have been better than a 1-3 mark. The Saints were exposed on MNF vs Minny. They just can not stop anyone. Oakland could have very easily beat SD and Buffalo so getting points is a gift. Take 203 Oakland | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Greg Daraban's NFL Totals Pack (** 3 Winners **) | |
221 Philadelphia at 222 San Francisco Like both defenses in this one. Low scoring game.
Take Phil/SF Under 211 Detroit at 212 Minnesota Expect a low scoring with Minn RB Adrian Peterson Take Low scoring. Take Det/Min Under 207 Cincinnati at 208 NY Jets Bengal QB Palmer is out. This will allow the run game on both sides to be in effect. Low scoring game. Take Cin/NYJ Under | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Marc Lawrence 44-1 ATS THREE MOST VALUABLE NFL PLAYS - Sunday 10/12 | |
Play On: Detroit, Houston and Seattle
Note: The Lions take on the Vikings in Minnesota looking for their first win of the campaign and if it doesn't happen today they should at least get the money. That's because winless NFL teams in Game Five of the season playing with revenge against an opponent off a win are 13-0-2 ATS when playing off a loss of 9 or more points in its last game. With Detroit 11-0-2 ATS as a dog of 6 or more points off a SU DD loss and BB ATS losses, we'll grab the points with the Lions. The Texans host the Dolphins looking to pick up their initial win of the season in a role that looks very favorable for Houston. That role occurs whenever a NFL road dog of 10.5 or less points that won SU by less than 20 points as a home dog of + 2 or more points the previous week and SU as a road dog two games ago. Teams in this role (Miami) are a 13-0 ATS 'play against' before Game Thirteen of the season since 1980. Look for the Dolphins to come back to earth here today. The Seahawks play host to the Packers with revenge on their minds form last year' playoff loss at Green Bay while returning home off a 38-point road loss at New York against the Giants last Sunday. With that we note that 1-3 NFL teams in Game Five, off one-loss exact, who won 11 or more games the previous season are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS since 1980. Look for Seattle to save face here today. Lay the points. Marc's Never Lost Super System Play on Sunday's NFL card is a top play from his Late Phone Football Service. Get it now, learn both of the awesome Super System in the game that have each NEVER LOST THE MONEY in NFL history, and win good today - you'll be glad you did! | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Tom Stryker's 31-9 ATS NFL Blowout of the Month | |
Tom rates his online plays 1* to 5* with a 5* being the strongest. 3* #216 HOUSTON (-) over Miami at 1 PM EST Houston backup quarterback Sage Rosenfels cost the Texans a victory last week. In a span of 2:10 late in the fourth quarter, Indianapolis scored 21 points thanks to two Rosenfels fumbles and one interception and the Colts escaped Reliant Stadium with a 31-27 victory . Rest assured, with a 0-4 SU record and starting quarterback Matt Schaub back in the lineup, Houston will take care of business. If you’re worried about the Texans winless record, don’t be. Since 1992, game five teams that take the field with a 0-4 SU mark are a respectable 37-17-3 ATS. Three teams fit this situation this week: Houston, St. Louis and Detroit. Home teams in this role have performed a little bit better notching a strong 18-6-1 ATS record and this tightener is currently on a 14-2 ATS run since the ’98 season. Of those three teams listed, only the Texans apply. Miami enters this contest off back-to-back straight up underdog wins over New England and San Diego. That little feat places the Dolphins in an automatic “play against” situation. Since 1980, NFL non-division guests are a soft 34-58 ATS provided they check in off back-to-back straight up underdog victories. If our guest pulled off the upset priced as a pup of +4 or more last, this situation dips to a dismal 9-31-1 ATS! The Fish fit the general situation and the tightener. Houston didn’t play poorly in its last two losses to the Jaguars and Colts. In fact, the Texans had opportunities to win both games. Houston head Coach Gary Kubiak knows his team is in a must-win situation and he and the Texans will find a way to get the job done. Take Houston! Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Tom Stryker's 4* AFC Super Play - 100% Situation! | |
Tom rates his online plays 1* to 5* with a 5* being the strongest. 4* #206 INDIANAPOLIS (-) over Baltimore at 1 PM EST Baltimore hasn't found an answer for Indianapolis. In the last five meetings, the Colts have cruised to a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS record. No one seems to want the Horseshoes here. This line opened with Indy favored by -6' and, at press time, Tony Dungy's men are a short -3'-point favorite. At the current price, there's plenty of value taking the Colts. The Ravens are a force at home. But, get the Black Birds on the road and they can be whipped. In its last 28 on foreign soil, Baltimore is a woeful 7-21 SU and ATS including 2-12 ATS in this set matched up against a foe that carries a won/loss percentage of .500 or less. The Black Birds haven't been a good underdog either. In their last 37 as a pup, the Ravens are a soft 7-30 SU and 14-23 ATS including a stunning 3-19 SU and 7-15 ATS in this set matched up against a non-division opponent. This is actually an ideal spot for Indy. In non-division play coming off a momentum-building straight up win, the Colts are a powerful 34-10 SU and 29-14-1 ATS including a sizzling 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS in this set coming off a division game. With those two parameters in play and Indy NOT undefeated, this team trend explodes to a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS! Dating back to last season, the Horseshoes have lost four straight at home (0-4 ATS)! That fact isn't sitting too well with Colts QB Peyton Manning and the rest of the Blue and White and they'll be primed to get back on the winning track here. Take Indianapolis. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Scott Rickenbach's EARLY BLOWOUT! 75% RUN! | |
1* (Regular Play) Carolina Panthers (+) @ Tampa Bay @ 1 PM ET – The Panthers have fared very well as an underdog under Coach Fox and we see no reason for that to change this week! Carolina also has enjoyed success against the Buccaneers as they’ve covered in seven of their last ten meetings with Tampa Bay! The Panthers are already 4-1 on the season and they’re looking to create more separation in the division by coming up with a big win over Tampa Bay. Carolina is loaded with confidence right now because, even though their last two wins have come against ‘lesser’ teams, it does a world of good for the confidence factor as the Panthers have been able to get their offense rolling again. QB Delhomme has looked very solid and WR Smith is getting back into the offensive flow again and RB Williams continues to cause match-up problems for defenses. The Panthers offense will continue to roll against a Buccaneers defense that appears to be getting older and a step slower. The Bucs defense just isn’t what it used to be and Tampa Bay’s defense also will be asked to do too much today. The Tampa Bay defense could be on the field for long periods today and that’s because the Bucs offense could struggle. Tampa Bay is having to turn to Jeff Garcia at QB and he’s simply not as good a fit in the new Buccaneers offense. Garcia fit well into the old Tampa Bay offense but things have changed and that’s the reason Garcia was sitting on the bench. Now the Bucs back-up QB is getting thrown into the fire against a Panthers defense that is one of the best units in the league. Carolina has been harassing opposing offenses all season long and, with Bucs QB Brian Griese hurting, the Panthers will be looking to get to Garcia early and often in this one and we foresee them doing just that! Also, the offensive line of the Panthers appears to be getting healthier again with at least two of the three injured offensive linemen expected back for Sunday’s game. That will make the Panthers offense even stronger for this game and they should be able to open up some big holes against this porous Buccaneers defense. As for the Bucs offense, they struggled last week at Denver as they put up just 13 points and now the struggles will continue with Griese out. That opens up the door for this to be a road rout and yet we’re not even being asked to lay points here. We’ll take it! Play Carolina plus the points as a regular selection. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Rocketman Sports TOP 4* NFL play Sunday! 69% in NFL this year! | |
Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!
NFL Miami @ Houston 1:00 PM EST Play On: 4* Houston -3 Houston is 26-12 ATS since 1992 after 2 or more consecutive losses. Miami is 3-15 SU the past 3 years in all road games. Houston is 3-0 SU overall vs Miami since 1992. Dolphins are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Dolphins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in October. Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dolphins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Dolphins are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win. Dolphins are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Dolphins are 7-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Dolphins are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6. Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. We'll play Houston for 4 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:00:00 | ||
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Scott Rickenbach's RED HOT Primetime SMASH! 75% RUN! | |
1* (Regular Play) OVER the total in San Diego vs New England @ 8:15 PM ET – As is normally the case in San Diego in mid-October, the weather will be fantastic. That means both offenses will be able to operate at full efficiency and that means we foresee an easy over here. Don’t get too hung up on the fact that the Chargers performed so poorly at Miami last week. San Diego was clearly looking ahead to this week’s game. Can you blame them? Last season the Chargers lost at New England in Week Two by a count of 38 to 14. Then, in the post-season, San Diego was eliminated with a 21-12 loss in bitterly cold weather in Foxboro. Finally, in Week Six of this season and in sunny southern California, the Chargers will get a chance to flex their offensive firepower. With Phillip Rivers running the show, San Diego can still put up points in a hurry. Yes, the Chargers struggled against the Dolphins last week (due to the lookahead) but they came into that game averaging 34.5 points per game! The Chargers offense is definitely their strength. The bad news for San Diego fans is that, without Merriman, the defense is definitely the weakness of this team this season. The Chargers have allowed an average of 25.8 points per game and the Patriots offense got some much need confidence, with Cassel under center, as the Pats put up 30 points at San Francisco. The Patriots made a smart move in staying on the West Coast after last week’s game against the 49’ers and they are fully prepared for this week’s game! However, the Pats defense is not what it used to be. They started to look older and slower last season and, though they haven’t allowed many points this season, the Pats have shown weakness against the run. Also, Chargers QB Rivers is certainly capable of dissecting this defense through the air! Last week in the postseason, when San Diego scored just twelve points, QB Rivers was playing on a torn ACL, RB Tomlinson left the game after just two plays, and TE Gates had a toe injury. Also, as noted above, the weather was not exactly pleasant. This time around, with beautiful weather expected and a total that has dropped nicely from a 47 earlier this week, there is clearly line value with the over in this match-up! The Patriots defense has allowed a total of 59 points the last two weeks even though they had a bye in between. The Chargers had played to a total of at least 46 points every week this season until last week’s low-scoring game at Miami. There has been an over-reaction to last week’s result and we’ll grab the line value with the over here as the Chargers have averaged 33 points per game in their last 8 regular season home games. This team can put up points at home but, without LB Merriman, this defense is not the same and they will “give it up” against the Patriots. Play OVER the total in San Diego as a regular selection. | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:20:00 | ||
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Tom Freese Blue Line Club NHL 10* Side Winner in Two 100% ANGLES! $10. | |
Tom Freese Blue Line Club- Sunday, October 12
Colorado at Edmonton (8:05pm) The home team is 5-0 the last 5 meetings in this series. Edmonton is 8-1 their last 9 Sunday games and they are 11-3 their last 14 home games. The Oilers are 14-6 their last 20 Conference games. Colorado is 4-17 away off a home game and they are 3-7 their last 10 road games and they are 0-4 their last 4 conference games. 10* PLAY ON EDMONTON - | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:05:00 | ||
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Rocketman Sports 3* NFL Late Afternoon play Sunday! 69% in NFL this year! | |
Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!
NFL Jacksonville @ Denver 4:05 PM EST Play On: 3* Jacksonville +3 1/2 Denver is 11-26 ATS last 3 years in all games. Denver is 10-22 ATS last 3 years in games on a grass field. Denver is 6-19 ATS last 3 years as a favorite. Denver is 5-14 ATS last 3 years at home. Denver is 1-13 ATS last 3 years in all games when the total is between 42 1/2 and 49 points. Denver is allowing 26 points per game overall this year and 27.7 points per game at home this season. Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Jaguars are 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Jaguars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Broncos are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass. Broncos are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss. Broncos are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 vs. AFC. Broncos are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall. Broncos are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. Broncos are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Broncos are 1-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. We'll play Jacksonville for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:05:00 | ||
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Jorge Gonzalez’s 5* High Roller BEST BET! | |
Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals 1:15 PM PST
203 Dallas -5/101 5 units The Dallas Cowboys are a constant circus with the media coverage that they receive. It might be the basis for the Cowboy’s road success. Dallas has won and covered both games on the road by an average of 14.5 points a game this season. The Cowboys only loss this season was to the much-improved Washington Redskins. Last week the Cowboys had a 17-point lead over the winless Cincinnati Bengals and let up. The Bengals clawed their way back a 24-22 score before the Cowboys scored late in the game to win 31-22. Too much has been made of the Cowboys only winning the game by nine points. The Cowboys can take to the road here in this spot and concentrate on football. The Cardinals beat the Dolphins 31-10 before they started their current two game winning streak. The Cardinals are off a 41-17 victory over the Bills after losing two games on the east coast to the Redskins and the Jets. The game against the Bills saw their starting quarterback Trent Edwards knocked out of the game and then saw the offense go on to commit four turnovers in the game. The game against the Jets saw the defense give up six touchdown passes and 56 points to Bret Farve and Jets offense. Look for Cowboys to come out and play four focused quarters of football. | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:15:00 | ||
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"4****STAR NFL BEST BET" from Will Cover for Sunday, 10-12! | |
Rating 1,2,3,4,5 Star 4-Star: SEATTLE minus vs the Packers. 4:15pm EST COVER STORY: Look for a focused effort by the Hawks as they are back at home coming off an embarrassing 44-6 road loss to the Giants last week. Not only that, but Seattle is playing with playoff revenge from a 42-20 loss at Green Bay last year. No one knows the Pack like Seahawks coach Mike Holmgren and he'll have his team ready for anything that GB shows on both sides of the ball! Packers' QB Rodgers not 100% with a shoulder injury and the GB defense ranks #26 in the NFL with a very suspect secondary. Home is where the heart (and money) is for Seattle as they are 20-9 ATS at Qwest Field since '05, including a fine 7-1 SU and ATS their last eight as hosts. Speaking of hosts, the home team is 31-12-1 ATS last 44 games involving the Seahawks. Lay the small impost with the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS! | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:15:00 | ||
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"SUNDAY NIGHT SPECIAL"...Pats/Chargers from Will Cover for Sunday! | |
Rating 1,2,3,4,5 Star 3-Star: CHARGERS minus vs the Pats. 8:15pm EST NBC-TV COVER STORY: Much bigger game for the Chargers as they stand just 2-3 on the year and are coming off a 17-10 road loss to the lowly Dolphins last week. That's important as the Chargers are a fine 13-4 ATS off a SU loss, including 6-1 ATS as favs in that role. San Diego is playing with double-revenge against New England as they lost in the regular season 38-14 in Foxboro and again in the playoffs 21-12 on the road. The Bolts are finally healthy and we look for a huge effort against the hated Pats. New England is 3-1 SU, but they are showing signs of age and are not the Patriots of old. They have topped 20 points once in their last five games and their defense allowed 38 points at home against Miami three weeks ago. NE is a horrid 3-12 ATS last 15 games while the Chargers are a fine 11-3 ATS their last 14 contests. You now know what to do...lay it with SAN DIEGO! | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:15:00 | ||
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BIG GAME ALERT*Sunday Night NFL Game of the Year | |
New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers (NFL) - Oct 12, 2008 5:15 PM PDT
Play 228 San Diego for 5 units The San Diego Chargers are coming off a disappointing 17-10 loss to the Dolphins. The cross country trip to Miami after playing the division rival Oakland Raiders was too big of a flat spot fro the Chargers to overcome with the New England Patriots on deck on the Sunday Night Game of the week! The patriots stayed on the west coast to avoid the wear and tear of traveling over 9000 miles for s football game. The Arizona Cardinals tried the same strategy earlier in the season and were torched 56-35 by the Jets. The Chargers have triple revenge going here in this spot against the Brady-less Patriots. Prior the Dolphin game, the Chargers was averaging 34.5 points per game. The patriots come in having scored 20 or more points just once on the last five games. | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:15:00 | ||
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Scott Rickenbach's THE Over Easy - NHL Style! | |
1* (Regular Play) OVER 5.5 goals in Edmonton vs Colorado @ 8:05 PM ET – The Oilers are the last team in the league to get their season underway. Through Saturday’s action all the other teams have played at least once and, needless to say, the Oilers are very anxious for this game. Edmonton made a lot of offseason additions that are expected to be a big improvement for their club this season. However, their biggest weakness, and a significant concern, is their goaltending. The reason the play here is the over is because Colorado is in a similar predicament. A lot of off-season changes, a very talented offense, but the question mark is goaltending. The Avs proved that to indeed be a question mark in their first game as they outshot the Bruins by a nearly 2 to 1 ratio and yet they still lost the game due to the shaky netminding of Peter Budaj. We also don’t believe that the netminding of Mathieu Garon can be trusted. The Oilers netminder did enough to steal the #1 job for Edmonton last season but he is still not widely regarded as a ‘shutdown goalie’. What the Oilers do have is a lot of speed and talent on offense and the Avalanche are the same way. Also, the ice in Edmonton is widely regarded as one of the best (and fastest) playing surfaces in the league. This is part of the reason that the Avs are 7-3-1 in their last 11 games at Rexall Place and the Avalanche have averaged 4.4 goals per game in those contests. Keep in mind this total is just a 5.5 and the Oilers are certainly going to “get theirs” in this game too! They’ve been waiting for what seems like an eternity to get their season underway and they will hit the ice with plenty of energy and they should find the weaknesses in Budaj’s game just like the Bruins did on Thursday. A lot of offense in this one as it’s the perfect set-up for an easy over. Play OVER the total in Edmonton as a regular selection. | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:05:00 | ||
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CHARGERS / PATRIOTS Sunday night 3*** SIDE PLAY Winner from King Creole Sports: | |
Plays rated 3 thru 5 stars
8:15pm ET / New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers 3*** NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS plus the points This is a DOG-oriented series, with the last 6 games going 5-1 ATS for the team that's taking points. New England comes in off a SUATS road favorite win against the Niners... while San Diego lost on the road last week as a favorite against the Miami Dolphins. The Chargers were a team that started off 2008 by going 'OVER' in each of their first four games... before going 'UNDER" last week down here in South Florida. NFL teams who start the season going 4-0 O/U in their first four games... and 'UNDER" in Game Five... are a PERFECT 0-8 ATS in the last 15 years (Play AGAINST San Diego AND Denver). The Pats came off their Bye week with a big road win last week... after getting shocked at home against the Dolphins before that. 9-3 ATS for all non-div teams off a SUATS road favorite win WITH REST.... and a SU home loss in the game before their Bye. Underdogs of 2 or more points are 6-1 ATS. After an extreme ATS loss as a significant road favorite, NFL teams usually return home with their tails between their legs. 1-7-1 ATS since 2002 for ALL non-div home FAVS off a SU road loss of 7 or more points as a favorite of -6 > pts (Play AGAINST San Diego). This System has already gone 0-3 ATS so far in the 2008 season. It pertains to teams returning home off BB road games. 0-3 ATS for all home favs off BB road games in which they won the FIRST one... and lost the SECOND one (Play AGAINST San Diego). In a Game 6 'specific' System, you do NOT want to be playing on a sizable favorite off a loss against an opponent off a win. 0-4 ATS in the last 5 years for GAME SIX favorites of -4> points playing off a SU loss (Chargers) against an opponent playing off a win (PATRIOTS). | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:20:00 | ||
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Cincinnati Kid's 22-4 Sunday Surprise | |
Detroit @ MINNESOTA 1:00 EST
Play on: #211) Detroit The Lioness' of Detroit takes to the road to face their division rival Vikings in the Twin-city...the host off the big win on MNF laying almost 2 TD's today - Game 5 clubs off a DD SU loss owning a sub .500 record are 22-4 ATS vs foes off a SU win in division play - additional numbers supporting the OUTRIGHT Lion win today... | ||
| 2008-10-12 13:05:00 | ||
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NFL West Coast Cash...Cincinnati Kid's 11-0 Winner! | |
Philadelphia @ SAN FRANCISCO 4:15 EST
Play on: #221) Philadelphia 49ers and Eagles collide on the Sunday gridiron with both clubs entering off BB SU losses...with the Eagles off BB ATS losses as well and losing their last game by 10 vs. the number sports the visitor in a 20-6 role with an 11-0 subset taking on a foe owning a sub .500 record... | ||
| 2008-10-12 16:15:00 | ||
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Steamline Sunday Triple Play...NBC TV Included! | |
Oakland @ N ORLEANS 1:00 EST
Play on: #203) Oakland Carolina @ TAMPA BAY 1:00 EST Play on: #209) Carolina N England @ SAN DIEGO 8:15 EST Play on: #227) N England | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:15:00 | ||
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Scott Rickenbach's NLCS Game 3! PERFECT so far! | |
1* (Regular Play) OVER the total in LA Dodgers vs Philadelphia @ 8:20 PM ET – Kuroda vs Moyer – Many people will not like this play but fading public perception is what has led to a lot of MLB profits through the years. The fact is that Dodger Stadium has a well deserved reputation as a pitchers’ park. However, there is simply too much potency in both these lineups to expect them to be shutdown by these mediocre hurlers. Jamie Moyer has done a great job for the Phillies this season but he struggled in his playoff start against a Brewers club that the rest of the Phillies pitching staff had no trouble shutting down. Also, Moyer has struggled against the Dodgers in recent meetings. Los Angeles will be looking to bounce back big at home and, with Manny Ramirez in the middle, the Dodgers have a great shot at pounding the soft-throwing Moyer. The flip side of this equation is that Hiroki Kuroda is likely to struggle for the Dodgers. Even though Kuroda enjoyed success against the Phillies in two starts against them this season he has been a different pitcher since then. Don’t be fooled by his full season numbers at home this year. After he shut down the Phillies in August, Kuroda allowed 11 earned runs on 24 hits in just 15.1 innings of work in his last three home starts of the regular season. Yes, he had a solid start against the Cubs in their NLDS but the Cubs were already down in the dumps about losing the first two games of the series and they did not swing the bats well against Kuroda. This will prove to be in stark contrast to a Phillies team that pounded the ball in Friday’s home win and that is riding high (and very confident) after winning the first two games of the series at home. The Phils have a powerful lineup that is a nice mix of left-handed bats, switch-hitters, and right-hand hitters that they can use to match up well with Kuroda. Yes, he had those two solid outings against the Phils earlier this season but he was very hittable in his last three regular season starts at home. Overall, Kuroda’s impressive full season numbers were attributable to a solid May and a very impressive August. Note that in the other four months Kuroda was hit at clips of .278, .281, .286, and .294. Kuroda is a solid hurler but he’s a little over-rated now. Even in a pitcher’s park, the powerful Phillies can do some damage against his mediocre offerings. Play OVER the total in the LA Dodgers game as a regular selection. | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:25:00 | ||
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Greg Daraban's SUNDAY NIGHT WINNER (* 14-6 in NFL *) | |
227 New England at 228 San Diego TV NBC: Sunday Night Game. Of course Brady is out for the season and that is as Big a loss as you can have. Yes the Pats have other weapons but you still need a veteran leader. Matt Cassell (USC Backup) is good but not like Brady. San Diego is playing off a loss so they now must come with their best effort. Not to mention the Chargers will have so added incentive from losing to NE the last 2 years. This is a golden opportunity to erase some bad memories. Take 228 San Diego | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:20:00 | ||
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Smart Money NBC Sunday Night Totals Smash | |
NFL-227 NE Patriots @ 228 San Diego Chargers
Time: 8:15 pm et, Sunday Oct 12/2008 Prediction: OVER The San Diego Chargers have revenge on board for last years playoff loss against their guests the New England Patriots tonight in this nationally televised event. Needless to say, the Chargers explosive offense will be ready to unload against a over rated New England defense. The Pats will have to open up with some big shots of their own or be blown out. The Chargers behind QB Philip Rivers own a cohesive attack that is more than capable of putting points on the board against a Pats defense, that has a poor pass rush and has looked inconsistent this season, as is evident by allowing a combined 59 points in their L/2 trips to the gridiron. The Chargers no longer depend solely on their super star RB Ladanian Tomlinson to strike fear into opponents, thanks to multiple down field threats. With that said, the Bolts are not going to be easy to read, via a dangerous multi faceted attack. Look for TE Antonio Gates to also be utilized a great deal this Sunday night , as he has found a way in the past to beat the Pats secondary as is evident by recording 185 yards in two previous confrontations. Meanwhile, New England backup QB Matt Cassell proved he can throw the long bomb last week against the 49'ers hooking up with star WR Randy Moss for some big down field gains, and today against a secondary that has struggled all season long should look better than usual. Cassell is also good for at least one bad pass and interception, which will surely result in CB Warren Cromarties and his secondary side kicks helping out to put a few extra points going up on the board for the Chargers. Also look for a heavy dose of Pats RB Kevin Faulk who had 2 Tds last week, against a vulnerable San Deigo run D . You have to remember this is a San Diego defense, that haws allowed just under 26 PPG on the season, and I'm betting things will not get much better this evening. Yes, even against a more conservative version of the Pats offense. Both teams have great return men with the Chargers Darren Sproles and the Patriots Ellis Hobbs , which in turn will have these teams consistently sporting good field positions. Add to that each team has very accurate place kickers , and you have a situation and game that sets up well for going OVER the total. Final notes & Key Trends: Chargers have gone OVER in in 5of 6 as home favorites against AFC East. Over is 7-1 in Chargers last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 10-2 in Chargers last 12 games following a ATS loss. Over is 7-1-1 in Patriots last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record . Play OVER -3* selection | ||
| 2008-10-12 20:15:00 | ||